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Capital return · 2026-10-23

Shareholder returns against free cash flow

Total shareholder yield, payout against free cash flow and dividend cover for CHH, GABC and MZTI, side by side.

Yield alone says little about whether a payout is comfortable. The same three companies look very different once returns are set against free cash flow.

CompanyTotal shareholder yieldReturns as % of free cash flowDividend cover
CHH3.9% (div. 1.1% + buyback 2.8%)162%2.2x
GABC2.4% (div. 2.4% + buyback 0.0%)25%4.1x
MZTI5.1% (div. 3.8% + buyback 1.3%)70%1.9x

CHH returns more than it generates. In the first half it drew $96.3M net on its revolving credit facilities while returning $133.8M, and after quarter end it entered a $500 million term loan whose covenants limit dividends and repurchases. GABC returns a quarter of its free cash flow and has no buybacks. MZTI sits between: payouts did not exceed free cash flow, but dividends are covered less than twice.

Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capex. For GABC, a bank, the measure is shown for context only; the valuation does not use it. Buyback figures are gross cash, not net of share issuance. Figures are as published in each note.

Related notes: Choice Hotels (CHH) · German American Bancorp (GABC) · The Marzetti Company (MZTI)

Disclosures. Insights are commentary drawn from NovaRock’s published notes and the filings behind them. They are not research notes, they do not change any rating or fair value, and they are not personalized investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Drafting uses AI-assisted research tools. Full disclosures are on our legal pages. Not marketed or offered to residents of India.

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